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Water level in Mopti

Prediction of deflooding

water level in Akka
100 cm 200 cm
minimum
mean
maximum
No deflooding data was found for this date + level

Legend

The date at which the floodplains are emersed is based on the relation between the water level measured in Mopti in Augustus-October and the date at which the water level during the deflooding has declined to 200 and 100 cm at the scale of Akka; for details about the methods: see report.

The flood viewer is in the air between 1 August and 15 October. It gives a prediction of the peak flood level for three sites in the Inner Niger Delta: Mopti (in the southern Inner Niger Delta); Akka (in the middle) and  Diré (in the north). The flood viewer gives the peak flood level, but also the predicted date at which the water level will reach its peak. It also provides a map of the area being indundated at the specified water level.

It is possible to change the date and the water level between 1 August and 15 October to see the impact on the predicted peak flood level, as well as the date and the flood extent. For further explanation: see next pages.

When the floodplains during the deflooding become accessible to livestock, the farmers still have to harvest their rice. Yet, herders have an interest in arriving as soon as possible on the emersed floodplain because the quality of aquatic plants decreases within weeks as the heat scorches the vegetation. Obviously, farmers do not accept cows entering their rice fields and eating the rice crop before harvest. The Dina, the law introduced by the Peuls in the 19th century, offered a compromise in these conflicting interests. Although the Dina lost its importance during colonial time, it was decided at a meeting in 1966 to re-establish the Dina with regard to grazing of cattle in the Inner Delta. In the modern version it is not the Dioro but the Gouverneur of the Mopti region who coordinates the different parties.

The annual meeting of stakeholders seeks to determine when cattle is allowed to enter the different zones in the Inner Delta. This meeting takes place in early October, thus still during rising water, so that the ‘calendrier de déplacement’, also known as ‘calendrier de traversées’ or ‘calendrier de la campagne des bourgoutières’ can be ascertained based on the expected date that the floodplain becomes available. Thus, an OPIDIN avant la lettre.

The herders and their cows need to cross the river during the deflooding. There are 32 frequently-used crossings. The river-crossing is celebrated each year. Popular festivities are, for instance, ‘Jaaral jafaradji’ at Diafarabé (see photos) and ‘Deggal diali’ at Dialloubé. The date at which cows are allowed to cross the river differs for the various official crossing-points. Because the floodplain in the southeast becomes available in advance of the floodplain in the central Inner Delta, access is already permitted in November in Diafarabé. Between 90 to 110 days later, the area near Lac Walado-Debo is opened for grazing.

The variation in water level (cm) in Akka since 1955 between 1 June and 1 June the next year. After a high flood the floodplains at 200 and 100 cm are emersed early and half May, respectively, but when the peak flood has been low the same floodplains are already dry from January onwards.

The entry dates vary between years (see table). After the low flood of 1984, cows were allowed to enter the floodplain around four weeks earlier compared to the high flood of 1994. The technical report (see download & links) compares the water level at Ke-Macina near to Diafarabé at the dates of access since 1980. The variation is large, either because the stakeholders negotiate each year fanatically about the calendar or because they are not able to do a more precise prediction of the date at which the floodplains are accessible to livestock. OPIDIN might help them to arrive at a right decision.

year River crossing at Diafarabé Peak flood level in Mopti (cm)
1980 22-11 592
1981 22-11 628
1982 21-11 551
1983 13-11 507
1984 5-11 440
1985 10-11 571
1986 30-11 534
1987 22-11 481
1988 14-11 571
1989 26-11 517
1990 25-11 510
1991 24-11 530
1992 14-11 538
1993 14-11 498
1994 17-12 665
1995 9-12 614
1996 30-11 595
1997 17-11 580
1998 25-11 639
1999 4-12 662
2000 25-11 608
2001 24-11 621
2002 9-11 538
2003 6-12 649
2004 27-11 561
2005 19-11 571
2006 18-11 597
2007 1-12 644
2008 29-11 633
2009 21-11 631