Based on the information available on 30 September, OPIDIN predicts that the flood of 2019 will be relatively high compared to the floods of the last 25 years. The prediction of the flood level is now rather certain.
The water level in Mopti has increased another 8 cm last week (24 September – 30 September), although the rise in water level slowed down. The water level in Mopti is now reaching a level (612 cm) being higher than most years since 1994, although still 30 cm lower than on 30 September in 2018 and in 2016 (when the floods were very high). OPIDIN predicts for 2019 that the water level in Mopti still will increase about another 20 cm in the coming weeks. The maximal flood level will be about as high as in 2007-2010, a bit higher than 2012,2013 or 2015, but not as high as in 2016 and 2018.
The peak in Mopti will be reached around mid October and the flood will be at its maximum in Akka half November. Based on the current prediction, the south-western part of the Inner Niger Delta may become available for grazing cattle in the last decade of November.