Based on the information available on 11 August, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be not as high as in 2010 and 2012 but not as low as in 2011. The prediction of the flood level is still uncertain, however. Much can change depending on the rainfall in the Upper Niger Basin during the coming weeks.
Based on the information available on 1 August, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be probably not as high as in 2012, but it is unlikely that the flood will as low as in 2011. Thus, the flood level will deviate not much from the years 2006-2010. The prediction of the flood level is still uncertain, however. Much can change depending on the rainfall in the Upper Niger during the coming weeks.
