The water level in Mopti has increased to 567 cm on 31 August. That is high in comparison to all water levels measured on this date in the last fifty years, but it is still 23 and 13 cm below the water level measured on this date in two years with an extremely high flood, namely 2016 and 2018.
The forecast for the coming week is an enhanced chance of above-average rainfall in the Upper Niger Basin but also further downstream, making it more likely that 2020 will be a year with a high flood comparable with 2016 and 2018.
The flood prediction is still unsure and may vary depending on the amount of rainfall the coming weeks. It is already obvious, however, it will a flood higher than in 2012 (620 cm in Mopti) and probably even as high as in 2016 and 2018 (650 - 670 cm in Mopti).