1 October 2015
Based on the information available on 1 October, OPIDIN predicts that the flood in 2015 will be as high as 2013 and 2014 and about 20 cm higher as last year. The prediction of the flood level is certain.
The water level on the gauge of Mopti amounted to 590 cm on 1 October. The water level in Mopti will still increase with 20-30 cm until the peak is reached in Mopti between 20 and 28 October. The flood level will be at its maximum in Akka between 14 and 18 November and in Diré likely between 30 November and 8 December. These predictions are based on the water level reached in Mopti on 1 October.
The flow of the Niger reached its peak on 13 September in Koulikoro, on 18 September in Kirango and on 20 September in Ké-Macina. Also the flow of the Bani decreased now, reaching its peak in Benéni Kégny on 16 September and in Sofara on 24 September.
OPIDIN predicts that the cattle can cross the river at Diafarabé between 20 November and 2 December. This prediction is based on the relationship between peak flood level in Mopti and the date when the cows are allowed to enter the Inner Niger Delta at Diafarabé during the last 30 years.